Table 3 Probabilities of ARTIs in 2–6 year-old children at day-care centers or preschools and estimated costs, for use in the bootstrap method estimated by the expert panel

≥6 ARTIs/y

0.50–0.80

6–10 ARTIs/y

0.80–0.90

11–12 ARTIs/y

0.10–0.20

6 ARTIs/y

0.05–0.10

7 ARTIs/y

0.36–0.44

8 ARTIs/y

0.30–0.50

9 ARTIs/y

0.36–0.44

10 ARTIs/y

0.05–0.10

11 ARTIs/y

0.40–0.60

12 ARTIs/y

0.40–0.60

ARTIs in Fall-Winter Season

0.60–0.70

Simple acute lower ARTIs

0.01–0.02

Simple acute upper ARTIs

0.70–0.80

Acute otitis media

0.13–0.25

Acute rhinosinusitis

0.03–0.07

Tx with antibiotics for simple acute lower ARTIs

1

Tx without antibiotics for simple acute upper ARTIs

0.30–0.40

Tx with antibiotics for simple acute upper ARTIs

0.60–0.70

Tx without antibiotics for acute otitis media

0.20–0.30

Tx with antibiotics for acute otitis media

0.70–0.80

Tx without antibiotics for acute rhinosinusitis

0.10–0.20

Tx with antibiotics for acute rhinosinusitis

0.80–0.90

Cost of Tx without antibiotics ($MXN)

95–1450

Cost of Tx with antibiotics ($MXN)

157–2491

Cost of parent job absenteeism ($MXN)

630–2100

OM-85 effectiveness (ARTI reduction)

0.38–0.55

Cost of OM-85 ($MXN)

258–430

Cost of OM-85 adverse events ($MXN)

11.1–22.2