Table 10 Main effects MNL model estimates

Payment schedule

1 month

− 0.0895**

(0.028)

294.3263***

(83.7794)

3 months

6 months

12 months

Timeliness of payments

Delayed

0.4808**

(0.1497)

− 1580.4597**

(528.7835)

Timely

Capitation rate per individual per year

1200 shillings

0.0003**

(0.0001)

2400 shillings

3600 shillings

4800 shillings

Services to be paid by the capitation rate

Capitation rate pays for consultation only.

−0.0360

(0.0833)

118.2276

(270.9732)

Capitation rate pays for consultation and drugs only

Capitation rate pays for consultation and lab tests only

Capitation rate pays for consultation, lab tests, and drugs

Performance requirements

Hospital receives base/fixed capitation rate

0.0540

(0.1085)

− 177.6008

(351.5738)

Hospital receives base/fixed capitation rate + bonus for improved performance (e.g. improved quality)

Opt-out

−0.2319

(0.4188)

762.1963

(1423.0172)

Model fit statistics

Log-likelihood at convergence

− 250.6159

Log-likelihood (final)

− 222.5633

Adjusted rho-squared at convergence

0.09

Akaike Information Criterion

457.13

Bayesian Information Criterion

478.21

observations

248

number of decision makers (n)

31