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Table 5 Main results for Aim 1: model diagnostics and treatment effect estimation for models differentiated by the use of estimated LOS in defining treatment

From: Using predicted length of stay to define treatment and model costs in hospitalized adults with serious illness: an evaluation of palliative care

 

Model diagnostics

Treatment effect estimation

R2

RMSE is

MAPE is

RMSE os

MAPE os

MPE os

AIC

BIC

ATET

95%CI

CI width

t-test

Model (i)

0.14

47,261

27,501

47,459

27,614

49

60,450

60,515

− 11302**

−14,289 to −8314

5975

t = 0.83

Model (ii)

0.14

47,352

27,585

47,562

27,700

−9

60,482

60,547

− 9140**

−13,260 to − 5020

8240

 
  1. **p < 0.01; *p < 0.05. For explanation of models, see Table 1. RMSE root-mean-square error, MAPE mean absolute percentage error, MPE mean percentage error, is in-sample, os out-of-sample, AIC Akaike Information Criterion, BIC Bayesian Information Criterion, ATET average treatment effect on the treated, CI Confidence interval