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Table 4 Predicted savings with CIs, in millions SEK

From: Direct and indirect savings from parallel imports in Sweden

 

Point estimate

95% CI estimation uncertainty

95% CI PSA

Direct savings

231

 

113–375

Indirect LS

260

130–394

134–424

Indirect PI

161

81–245

81–271

Indirect LS + PI

421

211–638

223–679

Direct + indirect PI

393

312–476

238–577

Total savings

652

442–869

391–968

  1. Note: The asymmetry in the CIs in Column 3 is explained by the concavity of C/(100 - C) (described in footnote 13), which is only partly offset by the convexity of C = 100*[exp(B)-1]. For the PSA CIs, the randomness of the Monte Carlo simulations is also a source of asymmetry. In 2017, the average exchange rate was 9.64 SEK for one EUR
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Health Economics Review

ISSN: 2191-1991

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