Fig. 4

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis and 95% confidence interval ellipse for private payer (after 1000 simulations) The red square is the deterministic ICER (cost per for QALY gained). The thick red line represents the probabilistic central estimation with an ICER = 378,882 ARS per QALY gained, The dotted red line, below the thick red one, represents the probabilistic lower 95% confidence limit with an ICER = 265,004 ARS per QALY gained. The dotted red line, above the thick red one, represents the probabilistic upper 95% confidence limit with an ICER = 697,756 ARS per QALY gained. The dotted and hyphened grey lines represent 1 and 3 GDP per capita thresholds, respectively (1 GDP per capita = 520,405.79 ARS)