From: Economic evaluation of strategies against coronavirus: a systematic review
Category | Author | Country/ Year | population | Alternative options for comparison | Type of economic evaluation | Study perspective | Outcome measure | Time horizon | Included Cost | Discount rate | Sensitivity analysis | CHEERS | ICERa/ NMBb/ CBRc |
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S1, S2, S3 | Shlomai A, et al. [30] | Israel/ 2020 | General population | 1. National lockdown 2. Testing, tracing and isolation | CEA (SEIRd model) | NRe | Death averted | 200 days | Direct medical cost (cost of infected individuals = isolation, hospitalization, ICU) | 0% (NAf) | One -way | 0.91 | The ICER value per death prevented was $45,104,156 (45,776,207.92 t), equivalent to $4.5 (t$4.56) million per QALY), in national lockdown )The ICER threshold value was estimated at around $15,243–17,366 per QALY) |
S8 | Zhao J, et al. [31] | China/ 2019 | General population | Implementation of MRPg: 1. No delay 2. 1-week delay, 3. 2-week delay, 4. 4-week delay, | CUA | Societal | DALY | NR | Direct and indirect cost (average cost of hospital stay, weighted quarantine cost for all suspected cases, productivity loss) | 3% | One-way and PSAh | 0.81 | NMB (billion/$) for strategies1, 2, 3, and 4 was − 381 (-394.04t), − 658 (-680.52t), − 910 (-941.15t), − 3,285 (-3,397.46t), respectively (Willingness-to-pay RMBi 70,892 per averted DALY) |
S7 | Hagens A, et al. [32] | Turkey/ 2019 | General population | 1. Without vaccination 2. Vaccination (scenario1, equal effectiveness on transmission and disease (90% effectiveness) / scenario2, limited effectiveness on transmission (90% on disease and 45% on transmission)) | CEA | Healthcare system | QALY | 1 year | Direct and indirect cost (hospitalization costs, ICU stay, pharmacotherapy at home, vaccination, decreased productivity) | 3% | Multi-way | 0.85 | ICER = 511 (686.20t) $/QALY (for equal effectiveness on transmission) and 1,045 (1,403.29t) $/QALY (for limited effectiveness on transmission) |
S2, S5, S8 | Wang Q, et al. [33] | China/ 2021 | General population | 1. Single strategy (personal protection, isolation-and-quarantine, community containment) 2. Joint strategy (personal protection and isolation-and-quarantine, personal protection and community containmentj) 3. No-intervention | CEA | Societal | Number of cases avoided | 14 days | Direct and indirect cost (surgical mask, soap, water cost, direct medical cost per case, lost disposable income, quarantine cost) | NA | One-and-two-way | 0.77 | ICER value compared to no intervention: Isolation-and-quarantine was still the most cost-effective single strategy (ICER = $1,278.43) The joint strategy of personal protection and isolation-and-quarantine was the optimal choice ($1,000 per case avoided) )ICER threshold value = $ 9,595( |
S7 | Wang W–C, et al. [34] | Taiwan (China) / 2021 | General population | 1.1.1.1.Moderna vaccination 2.2.2.2.Pfizer vaccination 3.3.3.3.AstraZeneca vaccination 4.4.4.4.No vaccination | CUA (Markov model) | Societal | QALY, | 180 days | Direct medical cost and indirect cost (vaccine, treatment, productivity loss) | NA | One-way | 0.58 | ICURk per QALY ($): Pfizer = − 356.75 AstraZeneca = − 341.43 Moderna = − 321.14 )Willingness-to-pay threshold = $50,000( |
S4, S6, S7 | Padula WV, et al. [35] | United States/ 2020 | General population | 1.Do Nothing 2.Social distancing, 3.COVID-19 treatment 4. COVID-19 vaccine | CEA (Markov model) | Healthcare system | QALY | 1 year | Direct medical cost and indirect cost (cost of a lost work-day, vaccine, ICU bed, hospital bed, emergency care visit (tests and x-ray), urgent care visit, (tests and x-ray), primary care visit (tests and x-ray)) | 3% | PSA | 0.62 | Budget impact of the vaccination was $40 (41.88t) per person, making it the more affordable option (vs. $102 (106.79t), for do nothing) ICER ($/QALY): $16/ 0.02 = $800 (837.60t) per QALY )Willingness-to-pay threshold = $100,000/QALY( |
S7 | Kohli M,et al. [36] | United States/ 2020 | General population (People over 18 years old) | 1. Vaccination 2. No vaccination | CEA (Markov model) | Healthcare system | QALY | 1 year | Direct medical cost (vaccine, ambulatory care only, hospitalization without ICU or ventilator, hospitalization with ICU, hospitalization with ICU + ventilator) | 3% | Base case scenario and tornado diagram | 0.75 | ICER = $8,200 (8,585.40t) per QALY )Willingness-to-pay threshold = ranged from $50,000 to $150,000 per QALY gained( |
S1 | Jiang Y, et al. [37] | China/ 2020 | COVID‐19 patients | Three versus two reverse transcription-PCR (RT-PCR) tests for diagnosing and discharging people with COVID-19 | CEA (SIRl model) | Healthcare system | QALY | 43 days | Direct medical cost (cost of RT-PCR test, cost per hospital day of the fully quarantined individuals) | 5% | One-way | 0.66 | Net monetary benefit (as replacement for ICER) = CN¥104 million ($16.52 millionu) in 43 days |
S2 | Melia A, et al. [38] | Australia/ 2020 | General population in 3 categories (1. Juniors 2.Adult 3.Seniors) | 1. Home isolation 2. Hotel room isolation | CEA (Decision tree) | Government | Secondary household infection rate | 14 days | Direct cost (ward cost, ICU cost, isolation cost at the hotel) | NA | NR | 0.58 | Hotel isolation vs. home isolation, in NSWm = AU$3,000 (2,243.37u) per person vs. AU$1054 (788.16u) per person (NMB = AU$1,946 (1,455.19u) per person) Hotel isolation vs. home isolation, in WAn = AU$2,520 (1,884.43u) per person vs. 955.5 (714.15u) per person (NMB = AU$1,564.5 (1169.91u) per person) |
S5 | Risko N, et al. [39] | low- and middle-income countries/ 2020 | Health workers | 1. Adequate of personal protective equipment 2.Inadequate of personal protective equipment | CEA | Societal | HCWo cases averted, HCW death averted, | 30 weeks | Direct and indirect cost (training costs, costs of labor and healthcare utilization, lost future productivity due to early mortality) | NR | Bayesian multivariate sensitivity analysis | 0.79 | ICER = $59 (61.01t) per HCW case averted, ICER = $4,309 (4,456.36t) per HCW life saved, |
S4 | Thunström L, et al. [40] | United States/ 2020 | General population | 1. With Social distancing 2. Without social distancing | CBA | NR | VSL | 30 years | Indirect cost (lost GDPp) | 3% | Break even sensitivity analysis | 0.83 | NMB = $5.2 (5.44t) trillion |
S1, S2 | González Lopez-Valcarcel B, et al. [41] | Spain/ 2020 | High-risk individuals | 1.Test-tracking quarantine (TTQ) strategy 2. Do nothing | CBA | Societal | QALY | 2 years | Direct and indirect cost (tests, tracers, COVID-19 cases treated at home, hospitalization (ICU, non-ICU), cost due to premature mortality and long-term morbidity consequences, lost GDP due to COVID-19 outbreak and outbreak responses) | 3% | Base case sensitivity analysis | 0.91 | Benefit-to-cost ratio (excluding health and morbidity) = €7 (8.20u) savings for every euro spent on TTQ Benefit-to-cost ratio (including health and morbidity) = €19 (22.26u) savings for every euro (1.17u) spent on TTQ |
S1, S4, S5 | Losina E,et al. [42] | United States/ 2020 | Undergraduate students and faculty at colleges | 1.Social distancing + masks 2. Masks alone 3. laboratory screening | CEA | Societal | QALY, Number of infections prevented | 105 days | Direct cost (cost of isolation, testing and hospitalization, and NPIs (costs of running and maintaining online education platforms, masks and cleaning and disinfecting measures)) | NA | Base case sensitivity analysis | 0.66 | ICER = $170 (177.99t) per infection prevented, ICER = $49,200 (51,512.4t) per QALY saved, |
S5 | Bagepally BS, et al. [43] | India/ 2019 | General population | 1.Surgical masks, 2.N-95 respirator (non-fit tested) 3.N-95 respirator (fit tested) 4.Hand hygiene 5.Surgical mask with hand hygiene 6. No intervention | CUA (Decision tree and Markov model) | Healthcare system | QALY | 1 year | Direct cost (cost of quarantine, isolation, paracetamol, outpatient, cost of disease (mild, severe, critical), cost of surgical mask, cost of N95 respirator, cost of hand hygiene, cost of COVID-19 test) | NA | One-way and PSA | 0.62 | ICER (million $/QALY): Surgical with hand hygiene = $1.12(1.25t) Hand-hygiene alone = $0.113(0.12t), Surgical-mask alone = $1.03(1.15t), N- 95 respirator, fit tested = $5.65(6.33t), N- 95 respirator, non-fit tested = $2.98(3.34t), (Cost-effectiveness threshold = $1,921) |
S6 | Sheinson D, et al. [44] | United States/ 2020 | Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 & 62.5 + years old | 1. No oxygen support 2. Oxygen support with ventilation 3.Oxygen support without ventilation | CEA (Markov model) | Societal | QALY | Lifetime | Direct and indirect cost (annual healthcare costs after discharge, productivity losses, inpatient costs (mechanical ventilation, oxygen support without ventilation, no oxygen support, mechanical ventilation bundled payment, oxygen support without ventilation bundled payment, no oxygen support bundled payment), drug costs) | 3% | One-way and PSA | 0.77 | ICER ($/QALY) = $8,028 (8,508.70t) per QALY |
S1 | Paltiel AD, et al. [45] | United States/ 2020 | General population | 1.Home-based SARS-CoV-2 antigen testing, 2. No test intervention | CEA | Societal | Infection averted, Death averted, | 60 days | Direct medical cost and indirect cost (cos of tests, inpatient care, and lost workdays) | NA | NR | 0.62 | ICER = $7,890 (8,260.83t) per infection averted, ICER = $1,430,000 (1,497,210t) per death averted, |
S1 | Abdalhamid B, et al. [46] | United States/ 2020 | Asymptomatic and symptomatic patients with COVID-19 | 1.RNA extraction & RT-PCR in pool testing 2.Individual testing | CEA | NR | Number of diagnosed patients | NR | Direct medical cost and indirect cost (reagents and consumables, labor) | NR | NR | 0.58 | ICER = $35,134 (36,785.30t) per each diagnosed case |
S1 | Neilan AM, et al. [47] | United States/ 2020 | General population | 1. PCR for people with symptoms + no symptoms, 2. PCR only for symptoms, | CEA (Microsimulation model) | Health care system | QALY | 180 days | Direct medical cost (SARS-CoV-2 PCR assay, hospital bed, ICU) | For cost: NA, For life years lost:3%, | Multi-way and one-way | 0.79 | ICER = $33,000 (34,551t) /QALY for Symptomatic + asymptomatic monthly (Willingness-to-pay threshold = $100,000/QALY) |
S1, S2, S4, S5 | Asamoah JKK, et al. [48] | Ghana/ 2020 | General population | 1. The effective testing and quarantine when boarders are opened 2.Intensifying the usage of nose masks and face shields through education 3. Cleaning of surfaces with home-based detergents 4.Safety measures adopted by the asymptomatic and symptomatic individualsq 5.Fumigating commercial areas such as markets | CEA (Deterministic model) | NR | Prevented infection cases | 56 days | Direct and indirect cost (intervention costs, averted disease costs and costs of prevented cases) | NA | One-way | 0.58 | ICER = $7.1362t10−12 per infection averted (7.8476t10 −12t) |
S3 | Ryan AJAaS, et al. [49] | Ireland/ 2019 | People unemployed | Lockdown in 2 scenarios: 1. Generous, 2. Conservative, | CBA | Government | QALY | 3 years | Direct and indirect costs (GDP deficit, government spending on healthcare) | 3% | NR | 0.70 | Conservative policy: The total cost per QALY is €28,000 (32,489.78u), €2 billion divided by 71,428 QALYs Generous policy: The total cost per QALY is €15,555 (18,049.23u), €1 billion divided by 64,285 QALYs) )The costs of lockdown are 25 times greater than its benefits( |
S6 | Águas R, et al. [50] | United Kingdom/ 2020 | Hospitalized COVID‐19 patients needing oxygen and ventilation | 1.Medication with dexamethasone, if patient has criteria for this treatment 2.No-Medication with dexamethasone | CEA | Health care provider | QALY | 6 months | Direct medical cost (daily hospital patient costs per treatment) | NA | NR | 0.68 | ICER < £20,000 (27,768.56u) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) England has an explicit threshold range of £20,000–£30,000 |
S3 | Rowthorn R, et al. [51] | United Kingdom/ 2020 | General population | 1.Do nothing 2.Lockdown | CBA (SIR model) | Governments | Deaths | 1 week | Direct medical cost and indirect cost (treatment, loss of output(production)) | NA | NR | 0.70 | ICER = £2 (2.77u) million to each fatality )A 10-week lockdown is only optimal if the value of life for COVID-19 victims exceeds £10 m.( |
S1, S2 | Paltiel AD, et al. [52] | United States/ 2020 | College students | 1.Screening (every 2 days) and isolation program, 2.Screening (daily) and isolation program, 3.Screening (weekly) and isolation program, | CEA | Societal | Infectious case prevented | 80 days | Direct medical cost (equipment and personnel costs) | NA | NR | 0.58 | ICER = $7900 (8271.30t) per infected averted, (Willingness-to-pay = $100,000( |
S3, S8 | Broughel J, et al. [53] | United States/ 2020 | General population | 1.No intervention 2. State suppression policies (stay-at-home; closing nonessential businesses, public schools, higher educational and facilities; severe travel restrictions) | CBA | Societal | QALY | NR | Direct and indirect cost (lost income, costs of suppression measures, hospitalization, ICU admission, mechanical ventilation) | 5% | NR | 0.58 | Gross mortality benefits using the “value-of-production” approach: Net benefit, low = $285.3 billion (298.70t) Net benefit, high = $368.3 billion (385.61t) (The monetary threshold per QALY (gross mortality benefits): between $285 billion and $530 billion) |
S6 | Gandjour AJm,et al. [54] | Germany/ 2020 | COVID‐19 patients | 1.No intervention 2.Provision of additional capacity (ICU bed) | CEA | Societal | Life year gained | Lifetime | Direct medical cost (initial stay in ICU, rehospitalization) | 3% for costs & 1% for health benefits | One‐way | 0.70 | ICER = €24,815 (29,109.55u) per life year gained (ICER of an additional ICU bed was €24,815 per life year gained) (The willingness to pay = €101,493 per life year gained) |
S4 | Schonberger RB, et al. [55] | United States/ 2020 | General population | 1.Strategy of full reopening aimed at achieving herd immunity 2.Strategy of limited reopening with social distancing | CBA | NR | QALY | 8 months | Indirect cost (plausible effects of economic cost on US GDP) | 3% | NR | 0.58 | ICER = $125,000 (130,875t) per QALY |
S7 | Sandmann, F.G [56] | United Kingdom/ 2020 | General population (individuals aged 20 years or older) | 1.Vaccination (best-case scenario, worst-case scenario), 2.No vaccination | CBA (A dynamic modelling framework) | Health system | QALY | 10 years | Direct and indirect cost (hospital admissions (ICU, non-ICU), personal protective equipment, visits to general practitioners, remote helpline calls, adverse events following immunisation, vaccine administrations, vaccine costs, conservative long-run cost per vaccine dose) | 3·5% | PSA | 0.83 | Incremental net monetary values ranging from £12 (16.66u) billion to £334·7(464.70u) billion in the best-case scenario; And, from –£1·1 (1.52u) billion to £56·9 (79.00u) billion in the worst-case scenario (Monetary value threshold per QALY = £20,000) |
S3 | Dutta M, Husain Z [57] | India/ 2020 | General population | 1.lockdown under 3 alternative scenarios (growth in income: 6%,7%, and 8%) | CBA | Health system | Cases avoided, Deaths averted | 14 days | Direct and indirect cost (homecare, hospitalization, ICU admission, unemployment, loss in production) | 4% | NR | 0.70 | Under all the scenarios: Net benefits < 0 |
S5 | Kazungu J,et al. [58] | Kenya/ 2020 | Healthcare workers | 1. Adequate/full PPE utilization 2. Inadequate supply of PPE | CEA | Government | Death averted, COVID-19 case averted, | 1 year | Direct and indirect cost (cost of training (nurse, clinical officer), cost per nurse-day of work, hospital bed, lost GDP per capita) | NA | PSA | 0.72 | Cost per COVID-19 case averted = $51 (54.11t) Cost per death averted = $ 371 (393.66t) (Willingness to pay = $517) |
S6 | Chow R,et al. [59] | United States/ 2020 | Hospitalized COVID-19 patients | 1.Statin use 2.No statin use | CEA | Healthcare system | Discharged; Death; Toxicity | 4 weeks | Direct medical cost (hospitalization (ICU, non-ICU), Statin) | NA | NR | 0.83 | ICER < 0 The mean cost for patients receiving statins was $31,623 (33,109.28t), whereas the mean cost for patients not receiving statins was $33,218(34,779.24t), The mean effectiveness for the two cohorts were 1.73 and 1.71, respectively |
S6 | Jo Y,et al. [60] | South Africa/ 2020 | Hospitalized COVID-19 patients in ICU | 1.Administration of dexamethasone to ventilated patients and Remdesivir to non-ventilated patients, 2.Dexamethasone alone to both non-ventilated and ventilated patients, 3.Remdesivir to no ventilated patients only, 4.Dexamethasone to ventilated patients only 5. All relative to a scenario of standard care | CEA | Healthcare system | Deaths averted | 6 months | Direct medical cost (cost of Remdesivir regimen, cost of dexamethasone regimen, ICU) | 5% | One-way and three-way sensitivity analyses | 0.87 | ICER = $231 (241.64t) per death averted |
S6 | Jiang Y,et al. [61] | China/ 2020 | Severe COVID-19 patients | 1.Remdesivir regimen 2.Standard of care | CEA | Healthcare system | QALY | 3 months | Direct medical cost (RT-PCR test fee for diagnosis and discharge of all infected and symptomatic persons, 1-time outpatient costs of mild patients, bed costs of mild patients during quarantine, hospitalization costs of moderate patients, hospitalization costs of severe patients, SoCr medication costs of moderate patients, SoC medication costs of severe patients, and Remdesivir acquisition costs) | 5% | One-way and PSA | 0.81 | ICER = CN¥ 14,098 (2,239.86u) per QALY |
S6 | Congly SE, et al. [62] | United States/ 2020 | COVID-19 patients | 1.Remdesivir to all patients, 2.Remdesivir in only moderate and only severe infections, 3.Dexamethasone to all patients, 4.Dexamethasone in severe infections, 5.Remdesivir in moderate/dexamethasone in severe infections, | CUA | Payer | QALY | 1 year | Direct medical cost (supportive care) | NA | PSA | 0.87 | ICER = $980.84 (1026.93t) per QALY (Willingness to pay threshold = $100,000/QALY) |
S2, S3, S4, S5, S8 | Lally M [63] | New Zealand/ 2021 | General population | 1.Lockdown strategy 2. Mitigation strategy (including case isolation, quarantining of members of their households, limiting large gatherings, social distancing, the wearing of masks on public transport, and restrictions targeted at only high-risk groups) | CBA | NR | QALY | 4 months | Indirect cost (GDP Losses) | 3.5% | NR | 0.64 | lockdown: Cost per QALY saved = at least $924,000 (960,405.60t) (A threshold figure of $62,000 for health interventions in New Zealand) |
S1, S2, S3, S6 | Raitzer D,et al. [64] | Philippines/ 2020 | Students | 1.Increased tracing- testing-and isolation TTQ 2.Paid sick leave (in cases with a positive diagnosis for treatment) 3.School face-to-face closure (in 3 scenarios: for all; for 15 + year old; for under 15-year old) | CBA | NR | Reduced disease burden of covid-19, Reduced cost of treatment, Life saved | Lifetime | Direct and indirect cost (labor force to care for children at home, lost income, lost productivity caused by poor training, employment of private school teachers) | Less than 3% | NR | 0.70 | Benefit–cost ratio (policy1:1.20, policy2: 10, policy3: 0.011) (₱768 (15.65u) million per life saved for closure at all levels, ₱366 (7.45u) million per life saved from closure for 15 + year old, and ₱1.38 (0.02u) billion per life saved from closure for those under 15 years of age) (Willingness to pay = ₱10,000) |
S1 | Seguí FL,et al. [65] | Spain/ 2020 | General population | Mass COVID-19 screenings of an asymptomatic population (Scenario1: PCR test & scenario2: RATs) | CBA | Societal | Monetary value of a QALY | 5 months | Direct medical cost (hospitalization, ICU admission) | 3% | NR | 0.75 | Benefit–cost ratio: Base case = 1.20, RAT = 1.63; PCR = 1.23 (Monetary value of a QALY: €25,000) |